Mkts may witness range-bound trade; all eyes on TCS, Infosys earnings

The domestic equity market may witness range-bound trade during the holiday-truncated week ahead, and will largely be guided by quarterly earnings from TCS and Infosys along with global trends, according to market analysts. "Since we are heading towards the earnings season, a lot of cues will now be taken from important results of TCS, Wipro, and Infosys. Volatility may be inching up in specific sectors and some rotation may be seen," Mustafa Nadeem, CEO of Epic Research, said.

TCS is scheduled to kick start the earnings season on Thursday followed by Infosys on Friday. We will also see global developments with the US-China trade talks taking the lead, he added.

Equity markets will remain closed on Tuesday for Dussehra. Investors are cautious and watchful about the earnings season which at this juncture looks less enthusiastic. There is a possibility that equity markets will trade cautious and range-bound, said Motilal Oswal, Managing Director of Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

Bourses are also expected to track industrial production data, which is scheduled to be announced post market hours on Friday. Among global events, investors would keep an eyes the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes slated to be released on Wednesday (October 9, 2019).

"On the global front, markets would watch out for US job report that would determine the Fed's next move," Siddharth Khemka – Head, Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited said. Besides global cues, market participants would also keep a close watch on rupee-dollar trends, oil prices and investment patterns by overseas investors.

During the last week, which also had a holiday-shortened, the Sensex plummeted 1,149.26 points or 2.96 percent. On Friday, it dropped 433.56 points or 1.14 percent to close at 37,673.31 after Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) policy outcome. In its fourth bi-monthly policy review of this fiscal, the central bank reduced its benchmark lending rate by 0.25 percentage point to 5.15 percent to revive growth that hit a six-year low of 5 percent in the June quarter.

The RBI also lowered its growth forecast for 2019-20 to 6.1 percent from 6.9 percent earlier and affirmed commitment to remain accommodative to address growth concerns 'as long as necessary'. Samco Securities, Founder and CEO, Jimeet Modi on the RBI policy said, "As such the MPC was expected to reduce the interest rates given the global fragile environment and slowdown in the domestic economy. For stock markets this will be a non-event from a short-term point of view."

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