FOREX-Dollar edges up, loonie drops after U.S. announces tariffs

The U.S. dollar edged ‌up ​on Monday, coming off its third weekly decline in four that sent the greenback to three-month lows as the U.S. Treasury promised to buy back more long-dated bonds, while details of sanctions on Iran were awaited. After last week's announcement by the Treasury Department that ‌it would double the size of liquidity support buyback operations for longer-dated notes and bonds, CNBC reported on Monday, citing two senior Treasury officials, that Secretary Scott Bessent could tap the department's near $1 trillion General Account to help fund bond buybacks, instead of issuing short-term bills.

The dollar pared some gains after the report, along with longer-dated Treasury yields. "If the reporting is true ‌that the Treasury is going to announce using a slug of its Treasury General Account at the Fed to buy longer-term bonds, it could be an interesting experiment. Does ‌firing a bazooka at a hurricane work?" said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.

"Lower bond yields at the long-end won’t fix the debt problem. Longer-term, it could make it worse. The government’s debt burden would become even more sensitive to changes in the Fed’s policy rate." The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose 0.11% to 98.94, with the euro down 0.07% at $1.1671. Long-end ⁠yields have ​been climbing around the globe due to a combination ⁠of a solid economic growth outlook, expectations for rising inflation and concern about swelling sovereign debts, while the Treasury buyback expansion to relieve upward pressure on yields has fueled concerns the dollar will weaken as ⁠a result.

CANADIAN DOLLAR WEAKENS ON TARIFFS Trade tensions weighed on the Canadian dollar, which weakened 0.41%, its biggest drop since June 17, versus the greenback to C$1.382 per dollar and was on track to snap ​a three-day streak of gains, after Washington imposed 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, with Canada promising to retaliate "dollar for dollar" on the new levies. U.S. President Donald Trump ⁠said in a social post on Monday that tariffs on all cars and trucks, automotive parts and steel will be increased to 50% starting January 1, 2027. Sterling edged up 0.03% to $1.3644, holding near its six-month high of $1.3675 ⁠hit ​on Friday. The Japanese yen softened 0.11% against the greenback to 159.13 per dollar. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 1.67% to $78,696.12 after registering its largest weekly gain in nearly 3-1/2 years.

IRAN SANCTIONS, WARSH SPEECH EYED Bessent is due to hold a press conference at 1700 GMT after threatening "the toughest sanctions in history" on Iran, with markets eyeing whether he will ⁠target China. U.S. economic data this week includes the personal consumption expenditures price index, personal income and spending, consumer confidence and the second estimate of second-quarter economic growth. Market participants will also ⁠be hoping for some guidance on the outlook ⁠for U.S. interest rates when Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday. However, UBS economists said in a note that Warsh's "quest to end any and all forms of forward guidance suggests we probably won't hear where the funds rate ‌is headed."