Greece's economy to shrink by estimated 8.2 per cent this year

Greece's economy will contract by an estimated 8.2 per cent this year due to the effects of the coronavirus pandemic before picking up next year, the government said Monday as it submitted its 2021 draft budget to parliament. Petsas said the recession forecast for 2020 is less severe than the 8.7 per cent contraction estimated for the eurozone as a whole.

Greece's economy will contract by an estimated 8.2 percent this year due to the effects of the coronavirus pandemic before picking up next year, the government said Monday as it submitted its 2021 draft budget to parliament. The 2021 budget was “drawn up in an environment of unprecedented uncertainty, due to the indefinite expiration date of the unprecedented coronavirus pandemic,” government spokesman Stelios Petsas said.

Greece emerged nearly two years ago from eight years of international bailout programs, during which it made deep spending cuts and tax increases to qualify for rescue loans. Its financial crisis sent unemployment skyrocketing and wiped out a quarter of the economy. The country's public debt is projected to reach 337 billion euros this year, or 197.4 percent of gross domestic product.

That would fall slightly to 342 billion euros, or 184.7 percent of GDP, in 2021, according to the draft budget. Unemployment is forecast to rise to 18.6 percent this year, compared with 17.3 percent last year, before dipping to 16.5 percent next year. Petsas said the recession forecast for 2020 is less severe than the 8.7 percent contraction estimated for the eurozone as a whole. The economy is expected to bounce back 7.5 percent next year, so that “Greek people's income will remain almost unchanged” during the two-year period, the budget said.

The primary budget balance - that is, the government's budget without taking into account the cost of servicing debt - will tumble to a deficit of 6.2 percent this year, and remain in a deficit of about 1 percent next year.

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