The Future of Electric Vehicles in the EU: A Shift in Gears

The EU aims for 85% of new car sales to be electric vehicles (EVs) by 2035, but a recent proposal may allow continued sales of combustion-engine models, potentially reducing this target to as low as 50%. Advocacy group T&E criticizes this move, citing potential setbacks in emissions reduction goals.

Electric vehicles are projected to dominate 85% of new car sales in the European Union by 2035, influenced by initiatives to phase out new combustion-engine models. This projection, however, could dip to 50%, according to the clean transport advocacy group Transport & Environment (T&E).

The European Commission faced industry pressure, leading to its December proposal of a 90% CO2 emissions cut in 2035 from 2021 levels, rather than a strict cessation of all combustion-engine cars and vans. T&E has labeled this as the EU's most significant retreat from its green policies in recent history, asserting it might enable the ongoing sale of high CO2-emitting vehicles as Chinese manufacturers advance in battery electric vehicles (BEVs).

In response, the European Commission stated its proposal aimed to foster EV sales across the EU and concurrently save car manufacturers approximately 2.1 billion euros ($2.5 billion) over three years, potentially emphasizing innovation and new electric models. Nevertheless, T&E's report outlines carmakers could sell 5% to 50% of non-BEVs post-2035, with the probability of 15% sales comprising combustion engines and plug-in hybrids, inevitably leading to 10% higher car CO2 emissions between 2025 and 2050 compared to existing regulations.

There is also a concern over potential further easing of these rules during forthcoming debates in the European Parliament and the EU Council, both essential for legislative approval. ($1 = 0.8474 euros)

(With inputs from agencies.)