From Deficit to Surplus: UK Economic Forecast by 2028

Finance minister Rachel Reeves predicts the UK's budget deficit to be 26.2 billion pounds for 2025/26, but moving into a surplus of 10.9 billion pounds by 2027/28, according to Office for Budget Responsibility projections. Current government borrowing is at 127 billion pounds, expected to decrease significantly.

From Deficit to Surplus: UK Economic Forecast by 2028
Rachel Reeves

On Wednesday, Finance Minister Rachel Reeves announced that Britain's budget deficit is projected to reach 26.2 billion pounds in the 2025/26 financial year. This forecast is based on new data released by the Office for Budget Responsibility.

Reeves highlighted that despite this projected deficit, the UK is expected to shift into a budget surplus of 10.9 billion pounds by the 2027/28 financial year.

The government is currently borrowing an estimated 127 billion pounds. However, borrowing is anticipated to decline, falling from 4.5% of economic output this year to just 2.1% of GDP by the conclusion of the forecast period.

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