Costa Rica's Presidential Race: A First-Round Triumph on the Horizon?

Costa Rica's ruling party candidate, Laura Fernandez, is leading with 40% voter support in the upcoming presidential election, possibly securing a first-round win. Fernandez, an ally of President Rodrigo Chaves, has benefited from his popularity, with her rivals trailing significantly. The election will occur amid concerns of low voter turnout.

In Costa Rica, Laura Fernandez, representing the ruling party, is poised to win the presidential election without a runoff, garnering 40% voter support. This figures show Fernandez's potential to grant her party a legislative majority for the 2026–2030 term, based on data from the University of Costa Rica.

Fernandez, a former minister and ally of President Rodrigo Chaves, has promised to maintain his policies, appointing him to a senior role if elected. Her rising support makes her a formidable candidate, capitalizing on Chaves' 58% approval rating despite legal limitations preventing his immediate reelection.

The survey, conducted in mid-January with a 3% margin of error, reports opposition candidates like Alvaro Ramos are struggling. With his campaign at 8%, Ramos represents traditional politics, facing criticism from Chaves for resisting reforms deemed necessary by the ruling party.