Southwest Monsoon Progresses in Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, Says IMD

The India Meteorological Department reports that the southwest monsoon has advanced over parts of the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal despite missing its anticipated onset in Kerala. Conditions are favorable for further advancement. India expects below-normal rainfall this season, influenced by emerging El Niño conditions.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced that the southwest monsoon has moved further into regions of the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal, despite initially missing its projected arrival in Kerala on May 26. The monsoon's timely progression is crucial for the country's agricultural and water resources.

Typically setting over Kerala around June 1, this meteorological phenomenon marks the commencement of India's monsoon season. This year, the IMD predicts lower than average seasonal rainfall, with an expected total of 80 cm compared to the long-term average of 87 cm. This reduction is partly attributed to potential El Niño conditions, known to cause diminished rainfall.

According to the IMD, favorable conditions might soon allow the monsoon to spread further across the southwest and southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep, and additional parts of the Bay of Bengal. The monsoon season accounts for over 70% of India's annual rainfall, vital for agriculture and hydropower.

While most regions anticipate below-normal precipitation, certain areas in the Northeast, Northwest, and South Peninsular India may experience normal to above-normal rainfall levels, adding a layer of complexity to the forecast.