BIZ-WGC-DEMAND
- Country:
- India
Performance of financial markets,
monetary policy in key economies including here, and the
dollar movement will determine gold demand in 2019, the World
Gold Council said in a report Thursday.
Since gold is considered a safe haven, during choppy
markets, the demand for gold improves, normally. Emerging
markets, led by India and China--the biggest consuming
markets--make up 70 percent of consumer demand for the metal.
"We expect that many of the global dynamics seeded
over the past two years and the risks that became apparent
later in 2018 will carry over into 2019. And with them, we see
a set of trends developing that will be the key in determining
demand for gold. In turn, their interplay will be most
relevant for the short and long term price behaviour of the
yellow metal," WGC said in the report without putting a number
to the likely growth rate.
The council expects increased market uncertainty and
expansion of protectionist economic policies to make gold
attractive as a hedge while it might face some hindrances from
higher interest rates and a strong dollar. But the effects of
these factors are expected to be limited as the US Fed has
signalled a neutral stance going forward.
But as the market risks are likely to remain high,
factors like higher interest rates and a strong dollar can cap
the positive sentiment for the metal, it warned.
"Given its unequivocal link to wealth and economic
expansion, we believe gold is well poised to benefit going
forward. We also believe gold jewellery demand will strengthen
in 2019, if the sentiment is positive and increase marginally
if uncertainty remains," the report said.
Also, the marginal uptick in Western economies is
expected to result in positive consumer sentiment, the report
concluded.
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