Wall Street Rallies During Memorial Day Weekend Amid Economic Optimism

Wall Street rebounded as Treasury yields paused, fueled by upbeat economic data. Investors, anticipating the unofficial start of summer, saw stock markets, particularly the tech-heavy Nasdaq, rise. Economic indicators suggest resilience, affecting rate cut expectations. Treasury yields and global markets varied, with the dollar dipping slightly against global currencies.

Wall Street rebounded and Treasury yields paused after upbeat economic data on Friday as investors positioned themselves ahead of the long U.S. Memorial Day weekend and the unofficial start to summer. The U.S. stock market's bounce-back caps a week in which minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve policy meeting struck a hawkish tone, economic data hinted at the possibility of rising inflation and megacap chipmaker Nvidia's beat-and-raise earnings report re-ignited investors' AI fervor. The tech-heavy Nasdaq led all three major U.S. stock indexes higher in a broad-based rally. "After yesterday's very rough day it was nice to see the bulls make a stand ahead of the long holiday weekend," said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group in Omaha. "The economy continues to surprise to the upside. That's why stocks are flirting with all-time highs." On a weekly basis, the S&P 500 was last essentially unchanged while the Dow was on track to snap its streak of Friday-to-Friday gains.

The tech-laden Nasdaq appeared set to notch its fifth straight weekly advance. Investors are growing increasingly resigned to the higher-for-longer interest rate narrative after the Fed minutes release on Wednesday, as well as cautious remarks from various policymakers who expressed doubt whether inflation is indeed on a reliable downward trajectory. Financial markets are now pricing just one rate cut in 2024, a far cry from the six cuts that were projected earlier in the year. On the economic front, new orders for U.S. durable goods increased more than expected, while the University of Michigan's final take on May consumer sentiment bumped higher, while near- and long-term inflation expectations cooled down. "The realization that the economy is not slowing down has pushed back on any summer rate cut," Detrick added. "July is likely off the table, but as (Fed Chair) Jerome Powell has said, with improving inflation data over the summer, a September rate cut has a fighter's chance."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 48.35 points, or 0.12%, to 39,113.61, the S&P 500 gained 36.3 points, or 0.69%, to 5,304.14 and the Nasdaq Composite added 178.46 points, or 1.07%, to 16,914.50. European shares closed lower and recorded a weekly decline as sentiment was dampened by the reemergence of interest rate worries.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.19% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.33%. Emerging market stocks lost 0.71%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.87% lower, while Japan's Nikkei lost 1.17%.

Treasury yields reversed and were last slightly lower after reports confirmed the U.S. economy remains resilient, which could convince the Fed to hold off on cutting interest rates this year. Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 2/32 in price to yield 4.4669%, from 4.475% late on Thursday.

The 30-year bond last rose 4/32 in price to yield 4.5729%, from 4.58% late on Thursday. The dollar dipped against a basket of world currencies but remained well-placed to resume its advance as stronger-than-expected economic data has prompted markets to dial back rate cut expectations.

The dollar index fell 0.38%, with the euro up 0.31% to $1.0847. The Japanese yen weakened 0.03% versus the greenback at 156.98 per dollar, while sterling was last trading at $1.2735, up 0.30% on the day.

Crude prices edged higher, after having been under pressure for much of the week as the notion of prolonged restrictive Fed policy dampened the demand outlook. U.S. crude rose 1.11% to settle at $77.72 per barrel, while Brent settled at $82.12 per barrel, up 0.93% on the day.

Gold prices rose but appeared set for their first weekly downturn in three due to lowered rate cut expectations. Spot gold added 0.3% to $2,336.03 an ounce.

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