Venezuela's OPEC Future Under U.S. Influence

Despite U.S. political maneuvers to replace Venezuela's government, the country is expected to retain its OPEC membership. Venezuela's large crude reserves and historical significance protect its position in the cartel. The U.S. strategy does not align with removing Venezuela from OPEC, reflecting broader geopolitical interests.

Venezuela is poised to maintain its seat in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) even if U.S. President Donald Trump achieves a regime change in Caracas. This is because the U.S. wants to reinforce its ties with the oil cartel while expanding its global influence.

The Trump administration has markedly increased pressure on Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro to resign, building up military presence in the Caribbean and targeting alleged drug-smuggling operations. Washington's national security agenda is focused on restoring American dominance in the Western Hemisphere, particularly by gaining access to Venezuela's vast oil reserves.

Venezuela, a founding member of OPEC, holds the world's largest proven crude reserves. Despite declining oil production and political instability, its role in OPEC remains crucial. While Trump's administration seeks better relations with OPEC members like Saudi Arabia, removing Venezuela from the cartel doesn't align with broader U.S. interests.