India Braces for Fertiliser Price Surge Amid Chinese Export Halt

India is gearing up for increased fertiliser costs after China suspended its fertiliser exports starting October 15. This suspension affects India's import of specialty fertilisers such as TMAP and AdBlue. With reliance on China for 95% of its specialty fertilisers, India explores alternative sources.

India is facing the prospect of higher fertiliser prices this winter due to China's sudden halt in urea and specialty fertiliser exports from October 15. This decision was announced by Rajib Chakraborty, President of the Soluble Fertilizer Industry Association.

China's suspension of exports—just five months after resuming them—affects the global market, with vital products like TMAP and AdBlue now in question. Given India's 95% reliance on Chinese specialty fertilisers, prices may increase by 10-15%.

To meet its needs, particularly for the rabi season, India plans to rely on existing global supplies, though the situation could worsen if sanctions continue past March 2026. While alternative suppliers in South Africa, Chile, and Croatia may offer temporary relief, they cannot fully substitute China's volume.

(With inputs from agencies.)