Dollar Dips Amid Mixed U.S. Job Market Signals
The dollar slid to a one-month low against the yen and a one-week low against the euro, impacted by mixed U.S. job market data. This stirred caution ahead of a crucial monthly payrolls report and raised questions about imminent Fed interest rate cuts.
The dollar fell to a one-month low versus the yen and a one-week low against the euro on Friday due to mixed U.S. job market data. Market participants remain cautious ahead of a key monthly payrolls report.
On Thursday, jobless benefit claims fell, allaying fears about rapid labor market deterioration despite recent data showing slow private jobs growth. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders see a 41% chance for a 50-basis point interest rate cut by the Fed on Sept. 18, compared to a 59% probability for a quarter-point reduction.
Over the past months, traders have consistently sold the dollar on concerns that a slowing U.S. economy will necessitate significant rate cuts. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently indicated the central bank's shift in focus from fighting inflation to preventing job market decline. Analysts at TD Securities expect 205,000 jobs to be added in August, likely leading to a quarter-point rate cut.
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