Surprise Economic Contraction Sparks Interest Rate Speculation

The UK's economy unexpectedly shrank by 0.1% from August to October, with October's GDP also down by 0.1%. This surprise decline, affecting services and construction sectors, increases the likelihood of a Bank of England interest rate cut. Sterling weakened against the dollar amid these developments.


Devdiscourse News Desk | Updated: 12-12-2025 12:56 IST | Created: 12-12-2025 12:56 IST
Surprise Economic Contraction Sparks Interest Rate Speculation
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The UK economy has taken an unexpected downturn, shrinking by 0.1% during the period from August to October, contrary to expectations of stability. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed this contraction on Friday, sparking speculation of potential interest rate cuts by the Bank of England.

October alone saw a similar contraction of 0.1%, further emphasizing the challenging economic climate finance minister Rachel Reeves faces as she prepares a significant tax-raising budget. The dominant services sector and construction both experienced unexpected declines, contributing to sterling's slight fall against the U.S. dollar.

The ONS reported a weaker annual economic growth of 1.1% in October, compared to the forecasted 1.4% expansion. Despite this, the finance ministry is determined to counter forecasters' predictions and focus on job creation.

(With inputs from agencies.)

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