WRAPUP 1-Declining imports compress US trade deficit in June

The US trade deficit narrowed by 5.6% to $73.3 billion in June, but economists warn the trend may not be sustained due to an AI buildout reliant on imports.

The U.S. trade ‌deficit narrowed ​in June, but the trend is unlikely to be sustained amid an artificial intelligence buildout that is heavily reliant on imports. Both imports and exports declined in June, the report from the Commerce Department showed on Tuesday. The government last week ‌estimated that the trade gap subtracted a full percentage point from gross domestic product growth in the second quarter.

"June's report showed a welcome narrowing in the trade gap," said Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets. "We still see net exports subtracting from GDP growth in the couple of quarters ahead." The trade shortfall contracted 5.6% to $73.3 ‌billion, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis and Census Bureau said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the deficit at $73.0 billion. Exports slipped 0.9% to $314.7 billion. Goods ‌exports declined 1.9% to $206.9 billion. They were weighed down by a $3.3 billion decline in exports of industrial supplies and materials, which include petroleum. Crude oil exports fell $5.7 billion, reflecting a decline in the average price. Crude oil export prices averaged $95.82 a barrel compared to $107.82 in May.

Exports of fuel oil fell $1.6 billion, while those of nonmonetary gold increased $3.4 billion. Capital goods slipped $0.6 billion amid a $1.1 billion drop in shipments ⁠of computers. Imports ​dropped 1.8% to $388.0 billion in June. Goods ⁠imports fell 2.5% to $309.0 billion. The decline was led by a $2.1 billion decline in capital goods imports, which reflected a $3.0 billion drop in computers. Still, imports of computers are $95.4 billion higher so far this year ⁠compared to the same period in 2025. There is strong demand for technology goods as businesses invest heavily in AI. Imports of telecommunications equipment increased $1.1 billion in June. ROBUST DOMESTIC DEMAND Consumer goods ​imports fell $2.1 billion, pulled down by a $1.9 billion drop in pharmaceutical preparations. Inflation-adjusted imports of petroleum were the lowest since April 2020. The so-called real goods ⁠trade deficit narrowed 5.3% to $94.5 billion in June. Exports of services increased $1.1 billion to $107.8 billion in June, lifted by financial and trade services. Imports of services increased $0.6 billion to $79.0 billion, amid a rise in charges ⁠for ​the use of intellectual property as well as gains in transport and insurance services. Imports of travel services, however, fell. The economy grew at a 1.5% annualized rate last quarter, though domestic demand, driven by consumers and businesses ramping up spending on AI infrastructure, increased at its fastest pace since the first quarter of 2023. The nation ⁠maintained goods trade deficits with many countries, including Canada, Germany, India, Malaysia, Japan, Ireland, Italy, France and Israel. It had record goods trade deficits with Mexico, Vietnam and ⁠South Korea in June. The goods trade deficit ⁠with China widened to $15.3 billion from $14.5 billion in May. The deficits have persisted despite President Donald Trump's aggressive import tariffs.

"For the record, the trade deficit that President Trump vowed to extinguish was $79.8 billion in November 2024 when he was elected for ‌another term, and is still $73.3 ‌billion in today's figures for June 2026," said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS. (Reporting By ​Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Andrea Ricci)