Potential Ceasefire in Gaza: A Critical Week for Regional Stability

Iran may refrain from direct retaliation against Israel if a ceasefire agreement in Gaza is reached through talks this week. Following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, Iran warned of severe repercussions but hopes to avoid broad conflict. The outcome of upcoming negotiations could significantly shape regional stability.

A ceasefire deal in Gaza, expected from talks this week, could deter Iran from direct retaliation against Israel for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, according to senior Iranian officials. Iran has vowed a severe response to Haniyeh's killing, blaming Israel, which has yet to confirm or deny involvement.

The U.S. Navy has deployed warships and a submarine to bolster Israeli defenses. An Iranian security official warned of a direct attack if Gaza negotiations fail or if Israel drags out the talks. The timing of Iran's response remains undecided as it engages in dialogue with Western countries and the U.S. to calibrate potential retaliation.

U.S. allies are working to de-escalate tensions, confirmed by the U.S. ambassador to Turkey, amid regional conversations to avoid escalation before the Gaza talks. Iran hinted at timing its response to not jeopardize a possible ceasefire, reiterating its stance on international law and calibrating its regional strategy.

(With inputs from agencies.)